ADAC warns of sharply rising fuel prices from 2027
The ADAC warns of a significant increase in fuel prices from 2027 onwards. ADAC President Christian Reinicke told the German Press Agency that it is to be expected that the CO2 price will rise more significantly in the years from 2027 than this year and next year.
"Similar to this year, we estimate a price increase of a maximum of 3 cents for gasoline and 3.1 cents for diesel in 2026."
Beginning in 2027 and in the following years, the ADAC expects further increases of up to 19 cents per liter of gasoline and diesel - depending on how quickly progress is made in climate protection.
The background is a reform of emissions trading. The Bundesrat is dealing today with changes in the law already adopted by the Bundestag, which implement necessary adjustments to EU law.
ADAC Demands Compensation
The European emissions trading could fundamentally provide effective incentives for low-emission mobility, according to Reinicke.
“However, because many people still do not have the opportunity to switch to alternatives to cars, e-mobility, or climate-neutral fuels, politics must reliably and effectively cushion the rising CO2 price from 2027.”
The new federal government must quickly adopt relief measures if it wants to maintain acceptance for climate protection measures, according to Reinicke. Through climate money, parts of the revenue from the CO2 price should be refunded, especially to low-income consumers. For commuters who are particularly burdened, the commuter allowance should be permanently increased. Climate money has long been a topic in political debate.
The Energy Association Also Calls for Relief
"It is crucial that the federal government ensures that the revenues from emissions trading are fully used for the targeted relief of affected consumers," said Kerstin Andreae, Chairwoman of the Executive Board of the German Association of Energy and Water Industries.
This could be done, for example, through a climate bonus, but also through subsidies for renovations.
CO2 Price Should Have a Steering Effect
Germany aims to become climate-neutral by 2045 to meet international climate goals and mitigate the worst effects of global warming. For this, the emission of climate-damaging CO2 must be significantly reduced. By increasing CO2 pricing, an incentive is to be created for more efficiency and for switching to climate-friendly technologies – such as electric cars or more environmentally friendly heating systems.
On January 1st, the CO2 price rose from 45 to 55 euros per ton. According to the Fuel Emissions Trading Act, a price corridor with a minimum price of 55 euros per emission certificate and a maximum price of 65 euros per emission certificate will be set for the year 2026.
Reform from 2027
From 2027, an EU-wide CO2 emissions trading system for building heating and the transport sector will be introduced. Until now, this applied to the industry and energy sector. The German fuel emissions trading under the Fuel Emissions Trading Act will be replaced by the EU system. The CO2 price will then be determined by the market.
Energy association warns of uncertainty
It is still unclear at what price the European CO2 certificates will be traded from 2027, said Andreae.
“This is especially problematic for energy suppliers because the costs for emissions trading must be listed separately on the invoice, yet they are already signing contracts for 2027/28 today.”
The uncertainty about the level of price creates economic risks for the suppliers.
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